Public Opinion/Polls

There have been four major polls taken in the United States on the subject of Darfur and the government's response to the genocide.

Genocide Intervention Network/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner: December 2006

Key findings:

  • Nearly two-thirds (62 percent) of Americans support the use of targeted individual sanctions, including asset freezes and travel bans, against Sudanese leaders responsible for planning and executing genocide — even though respondents were told that some of these officials occasionally provide intelligence to the United States on al Qaeda activities.
  • Fifty-four percent of Americans support denying entry in US ports to oil tankers that have carried Sudanese oil. Provisions for both targeted sanctions and port-entry denial have already been signed into law by the Darfur Peace and Accountability Act, but have not been enforced.
  • Americans support cooperation between the US and the International Criminal Court (ICC) to bring the perpetrators of the Darfur genocide to justice. A majority (53 percent) want the United States to help the ICC, even if there is a chance in the future its prosecutors may some day attempt to charge Americans with war crimes for their operations in Iraq and elsewhere.
  • Four out of five (80 percent) of Americans support a policy of mandatory genocide education in US public schools, believing that despite the other important topics schools must cover, they should also teach about genocide. Currently, only six US states require schools to teach about the Holocaust, and none require schools to teach about other genocides or mass atrocities.

Complete results from the GI-Net/GQR poll

Harris Poll: December 2006

Key findings:

  • A 62 to 27 percent majority of the public would like to see the United States play a leading role in developing new and better ways to prevent and react to intentional problems like Bosnia, Kosovo, Rwanda and Darfur.
  • Most people (82 percent) favor sending an international force to Darfur.
  • Events in Darfur have been in the news for several years, but only nine percent of adults feel they know "a lot" about what is happening there, while another 39 percent think they know "a little." Almost half (47 percent) say they know "nothing at all" (22 percent) or "not that much" (25 percent).
  • The more people know about Darfur, the more likely they are to favor sending international peacekeepers, even if Sudan opposes their use.

Complete results from the Harris poll

International Crisis Group/Zogby: June 2005

Key findings:

  • 80 percent agreed that the Janjaweed attacks on civilian populations in Darfur can accurately be called "genocide" or "crimes against humanity", with response higher among Republicans (82 percent) than Democrats (79 percent).
  • 84 percent said the U.S. should not tolerate an extremist government committing such attacks and should use its military assets, short of putting U.S. troops on the ground, to help stop them.
  • 91 percent said the U.S. should cooperate with the International Criminal Court to help bring to justice those accused of crimes against humanity.
  • Strong majorities supported tough sanctions on Sudanese leaders who control the militias (81 percent), a no-fly zone over Darfur (80 percent), and NATO logistical and troop support for an expanded African peacekeeping force (76 percent).

Complete results from the ICG/Zogby poll

PIPA/Knowledge Networks and GlobeScan: June and December 2004

Key findings from the PIPA/Knowledge Networks poll, which surveyed people in the United States:

  • Asked whether UN members should "step in with military force to stop the violence in Darfur," 61 percent said that it should, while 32 percent said that it should not.
  • A majority, albeit a slightly smaller one, also favored contributing US troops to a multilateral operation in Darfur. Asked "If other members of the UN are willing to contribute troops to a military operation in Darfur, do you think the US should or should not be willing to contribute some troops as well?" 54 percent said that it should, while 39 percent were opposed.
  • Support is even higher for providing equipment and logistical support to the African Union peacekeeping force in Darfur. Respondents were told, "At present there is a peacekeeping force in Darfur made up of soldiers from African countries. But this force is quite weak and its presence has not stopped the violence. The African Union has asked NATO for equipment and logistical support." They were then asked, "Do you think that NATO, including the US, should or should not provide such help?" Seventy-one percent said the US should, while 21 percent said it should not.

Key findings from the GlobeScan poll, which surveyed people in eight African nations:

  • Overall, 65 percent of Africans interviewed believe the UN Security Council should have the right to authorize the use of military force to prevent severe human rights violations such as genocide, while just 19 percent are opposed.
  • Support was strongest among those in Ghana (80 percent), Kenya (75 percent), Nigeria (66 percent), Tanzania (66 percent), Zimbabwe (65 percent), and Cameroon (64 percent), while milder support was found among Angolans (55 percent) and South Africans (47 percent). Opposition to UN intervention was the highest among Angolans (37 percent), but in most other countries less than one in five were opposed.
  • Africans show widespread openness to the idea of multilateral military intervention in their own country in the event of a conflict "like Darfur." When asked who they would prefer to intervene in the event of such a conflict, UN military troops received the widest endorsement (30 percent), followed by the African Union (22 percent). The idea of intervention by rich countries acting alone was endorsed by just 5 percent.

Read GI-Net's assessment of the significance of these polls, "Recent Polls Indicate Africans, US Citizens Support Intervention," July 20, 2005.

Complete results from the PIPA/Knowledge Networks and GlobeScan polls.

Report: Recent Polls Indicate Africans, US Citizens Support Intervention

Prepared by Justin K. Gelfand for the Genocide Intervention Network
July 20, 2005

Overview

According to a recent series of polls, Americans and Africans overwhelmingly support further intervention in the Darfur region of Sudan. With a death toll now exceeding 400,000, PIPA approached citizens of all walks of life with the pressing question of intervention. Africans, generally believed to reject the notion of UN intervention in African conflicts, appear to have drawn the line at genocide. As the poll results reflect, seven of eight African countries polled overwhelmingly condone foreign intervention in extreme human rights abuses such as Darfur, many advocating the UN to be the most appropriate agency. Seven in ten people polled support NATO intervention.

These results are profoundly significant insofar as the world recognizes the need for countries to intervene in situations of genocide when government-backed troops are either failing at protecting innocents or perpetrating the killings themselves. In Darfur, the government-sponsored Arab Janjaweed militia has perpetrated the mass-murder of hundreds of thousands of black animist and Christian Sudanese, and the forced relocation of over four million. Meeting the 1948 UN Convention on Genocide's legal and ethical definitions of genocide, the situation in Darfur has already surpassed the horrors of the 1994 Hutu-perpetrated genocide against Tutsis in Rwanda.

The Facts

Conducted between October and December 2004, the GlobeScan poll of 10,809 Africans (margin of error: +/- 2–3%) revealed that 65% of Africans questioned believe that the UN Security Council should have the right to militarily intervene in conflicts of severe human rights violations such as genocide. The breakdown of the data is clear and significant:

Country Support for Intervention
Ghana 80%
Kenya 75%
Nigeria 66%
Tanzania 66%
Zimbabwe 65%
Cameroon 64%
Angola 55%
South Africa 47%

As the numbers show, there is widespread support for UN intervention across the African continent. Perhaps more remarkable, Africans interviewed overwhelmingly support "the idea of multilateral military intervention in their own country in the event of a conflict 'like Darfur.'" Not surprisingly, this strongly suggests that, if polled, Darfurians would certainly support military intervention to stop the Janjaweed militia and to prevent further loss of life and forced relocation.

A poll conducted more recently by PIPA-Knowledge Networks revealed that of 812 Americans interviewed between June 22–26, 2005, 61% said that UN members should "step in with military force to stop the violence in Darfur" while 32% opposed. This support was bipartisan: 67% of Republicans favored intervention and 62% of Democrats favored it. A small majority of respondents even supported committing American soldiers to the intervention force (54%).

Given the fact that the African Union has already taken the lead in committing forces on the ground in Darfur, the poll's most revealing insight is the level of support for providing equipment and logistical support for the AU — the Genocide Intervention Network's primary purpose. The poll read: "At present there is a peacekeeping force in Darfur made up of soldiers from African countries. But this force is quite weak and its presence has not stopped the violence. The African Union has asked NATO for equipment and logistical support. Do you think that NATO, including the US, should or should not provide such help?" The answer: 71% said the US should and a mere 21% said that the US should not.

While support may vary among Americans depending on whether or not the situation is called genocide (a term President George W. Bush has already used), the poll framed the situation as "large-scale violence in Darfur, Sudan, that some, including the Bush administration, have called genocide."

The Significance

This series of polls provides profound insight into the opinions of citizens throughout the world on the genocide in Darfur. In any democratic regime, especially the United States, citizen opinion is the foundation of legitimate government. Currently, United States citizens and respondents in the vast majority of African countries polled agree on one thing: some form of multilateral military intervention is necessary to stop the Janjaweed militia from its tactics of mass-murder and forced relocation. For the first time in history, African Union troops have already been dispatched in time to make a significant difference. As it stands, the world's message to these heroic soldiers is not one of support; the United States and the UN have directed political pressure against any form of intervention by the AU, the troops have struggled to secure even the most simple resources necessary to protect innocents, and politicians throughout the United States and Europe continue to discuss intervention as the Janjaweed slaughters innocents in Darfur. These are killings on the basis of race and ethnicity, actions that fall specifically within Raphael Lemkin's earliest definition of genocide and every subsequent definition since the 1948 UN Declaration, and the world has an obligation to end it.

As history has shown, citizen action has been the key to mobilizing governments. The fact that citizens throughout the United States and the world made it so governments had to listen led to the success of the Civil Rights Movement in the US, the fall of the apartheid regime in South Africa, human rights efforts in India, and the list goes on. In disappointing contrast, citizens have failed to compel their governments to end genocides throughout the past century. When Stalin starved millions of Kulaks, the world chose not to act. When Pol Pot murdered over one million Cambodians, the world chose not to act. And when Hutu extremists murdered 800,000 Tutsi Rwandans in 1994, the world chose not to act.

The Genocide Intervention Network exists to help citizens express their opinions more and in a more effective manner, providing people with access to up-to-date information, organized and effective activist efforts, and an accurate historical understanding of genocide, all in an effort to help citizens become better educated advocates for the people of Darfur.

GI-Net operates within the framework of the "Responsibility to Protect" report, produced by the International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty in 2001. The Commission concluded that "sovereign states have a responsibility to protect their own citizens from avoidable catastrophe ... but that when they are unwilling or unable to do so, that responsibility must be borne by the broader community of states."

As the series of recent polls indicates, citizens throughout Africa and America recognize that the Sudanese government cannot possibly meet its responsibility to protect its own citizens from the Janjaweed militia when it financially backs these perpetrators of genocide. It is the responsibility of private citizens finally to stand up against genocide and to change the course of history before it is too late. The Genocide Intervention Network strongly advocates the responsibility of governments and multilateral institutions to stop the genocide in the Darfur region of Sudan. GI-Net brings the Responsibility to Protect to private citizens. The catastrophe in Sudan is avoidable — if the world chooses to act.